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Statistics

π(θ) Bayesian Statistics

Treating unknowns as probability distributions and updating beliefs with data — from Bayes' theorem through modern computational methods.

3 concepts— start at the top and work your way down
  1. 1

    Markov Chain Monte Carlo

    Sampling from a posterior distribution you can't write down in closed form, by building a random walk whose long-run behavior matches that distribution.

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  2. 2

    INLA

    Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation — a fast, deterministic alternative to MCMC for a broad class of Bayesian models, trading some generality for speed and reliable convergence.

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  3. 3

    Naive Bayes

    A probabilistic classifier that applies Bayes' theorem with the (often unrealistic) assumption that features are conditionally independent given the class.

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